LA Tech / WKU Over 60.5 3.3* play
This total has dropped down since opening at 67 and there is just too much value here for me to pass up on. First of all we are getting value here, because Western Kentucky beat a Western Kentucky team 14-12 last week, but what is hidden in that game is the fact that they were -150 yards and held Vanderbilt to 2 scores in 5 red zone trips. Which is amazing and lucky at the same time, but it hid the fact that Western Kentucky's defense is still very very bad, and that Vanderbilt really does not have a clue... Oh poor Derek Mason.
LA Tech comes into this game on a short week and I really feel like that benefits the offenses and not the defenses. LA Tech has an excellent secondary, and held Western Kentucky to 10 points last year at home, but this was a different defense on the road last year, and they have to replace almost everyone in their front 7 along with their talented defensive coordinator Manny Diaz who moved onto Miss State.
Both teams will score into the 30's in this one, as they both have very good QB's. Former Florida 4 star QB Jeff Driskel takes over and he looked pretty good against a bad defense last week throwing 4 TD and 0 INT's, and Brandon Doughty obviously getting a ton of recognition in the off season. I expect him to rebound and put up some points today. Western Kentucky was +1.2 yards per play at home vs. away games last year and they scored 45+ points in 4 of their 6 home games and 35 in each one with an amazing 80% TD percentage in the red zone. LA Tech also very good in the red zone at coming away with 7 instead of 3 (72% on the year), while their defense was excellent at home 30% TD allowed, they struggled on the road 65%, and add in a new front 7 along with a new defensive coordinator and I'm predicting it won't be the same at least early. If you don't think we are getting value last year's total was 69 and it was played at LA Tech.
